Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1280.769594 1451.470282 1639.727901 1863.300235 2122.278265 2413.662388 2767.497461
2025-11-09 1027.849761 1257.554787 1534.011876 1893.625293 2352.501475 2923.054249 3693.344950
2025-11-16 887.122667 1141.323482 1465.488020 1913.899467 2525.479940 3341.172183 4529.535168
2025-11-23 788.972182 1056.670719 1414.328430 1934.540886 2684.267212 3744.965473 5394.278528
2025-11-30 719.025489 996.696579 1382.862776 1969.651844 2857.455991 4181.456702 6365.495079
2025-12-07 638.231806 910.141824 1301.070691 1917.232794 2888.581615 4403.909520 7034.874666
2025-12-14 571.360331 835.412336 1226.383801 1863.092622 2904.716611 4597.709187 7679.191509
2025-12-21 512.872508 766.714271 1152.549720 1799.602011 2894.227405 4741.243239 8252.764999
2025-12-28 490.761370 751.198396 1158.309361 1862.963395 3099.220623 5272.583876 9608.923792
2026-01-04 463.964596 725.355829 1144.375945 1890.688004 3244.235360 5715.390145 10872.573052
2026-01-11 437.516071 697.428915 1123.867831 1903.839455 3363.063843 6123.791860 12137.623481
2026-01-18 413.414066 671.122514 1103.279989 1913.834207 3475.835312 6533.914792 13478.448068
2026-01-25 397.537260 658.026650 1105.191031 1966.943892 3681.870859 7167.592672 15456.229116
2026-02-01 379.535727 639.762155 1096.392009 1999.207919 3851.640135 7754.677990 17459.382268
2026-02-08 361.707258 620.159737 1083.105881 2020.775775 4001.392839 8320.587541 19533.937975
2026-02-15 345.530748 602.125190 1070.900111 2042.736845 4154.180951 8916.254810 21818.387113
2026-02-22 332.637673 589.026541 1066.664874 2080.097140 4344.967563 9629.654289 24585.002468
2026-03-01 309.816876 555.500521 1020.220917 2024.322093 4318.846486 9819.123799 25937.318241
2026-03-08 288.806003 523.923382 975.074595 1966.729630 4281.199981 9974.075106 27226.676686
2026-03-15 268.489726 492.312198 927.470944 1899.208947 4211.960662 10038.601484 28261.724388
2026-03-22 263.607315 490.629041 940.185933 1966.592180 4477.775045 11023.442785 32441.128270
2026-03-29 255.226077 481.328107 936.396047 1996.082869 4653.458927 11796.019699 36147.857005
2026-04-05 245.941775 469.528417 926.391936 2010.073390 4791.430104 12487.629934 39779.263112